As I have mentioned many times, during BTC Bull Markets there is very little to do. You buy at the bottom support line, and you trim at the top resistance line.
That’s it.
During the Bear Markets, you take advantage of the Higher Volatility and Higher Volume to place short term directional trades and grow your stack.
The point of this trading is not just to make money, but to prevent you from falling into the “despair” trap, and sadly whispering “When will this Bear Market end already”. It will end, when it will end. But till then, we eat BEAR STEW!
By creating SPOT and PERP accounts specifically designed to mine these movements you will prevent yourself from making the mistake of selling your long term stack at the very bottom of the Bear Market (when the bottom finally arrives). Additionally, if you play your cards correctly, you may just find yourself hoping that the Bear Market does not end too soon. ;)
Swing Trades
Although I do day trade quite heavily, I am not going to share those moves. The simple reason is that when other sites do that I find it extremely frustrating. People post their Gains/Losses at the end of the day, showing how they made 200% on a trade, but not allowing the reader to really participate in any meaningful way. That sounds like bragging more than it sounds like helpful advice to me.
So what I will do instead, is post Swing Trades. Trades that are not opened and closed Intra-Day (barring exceptions), but that may span anywhere from 24 hours to several days or even weeks. They are trades based on directionality.
I will always post those trades the minute I take them in the CHAT section. That section is reserved for Founder Level Subscribers. As soon as the trades execute, I will post them there.
I will then, usually at the end of the day, add the trade to the running Trade Tracker Table on this page.
Trade Mechanics
For the purpose of simplicity, I will only be taking BTC SPOT trades. The reason for this is that BTC trades 24/7, has tons of liquidity, and there are many tools for controlling your trades (Limit Orders, Trailing Stops, etc…). Furthermore, I am increasingly interested in trading the Perpetual Futures. So when you see trades, they will be listed as “Per Coin”. This basically gives you the basis for the trade.
For example.
If I take a LONG Trade at $60K (where 1 BTC = $60K), and sell it for $61K, that will be a $1000 profit/coin.
What this means is that if you bought 1 BTC you made a $1000 profit on a $60K investment. However, if you put on a 4X PERP Trade, you made a $1000 profit on a $15K investment. You can quickly see how lucrative this can be.
For simplicity purposes, I am excluding exchange fees from this table. The main reason is that they will be different for everyone. SPOT on Coinbase is expensive, but BTC on PERPS with 1X Leverage on HyperLiquid are almost free.
For simplicity, simply assume about $65 in fees per round trip. That should be a good average. (That is not per coin, but in total).
Trade Objectives
The objective of taking these trades will be to achieve a 80/20 ratio.
8 Wins for every 2 Losses.
Furthermore, we will try to get our Wins to be at least 3X the percentage of our Losing Trades.
If you can achieve an 80/20 win ratio, with a 3:1 gain ratio, you will be a very happy person.
This by nature will imply letting our winners run, and cutting our losers short and early.
In order to find those markers, we will use Technical Analysis that I will cover during the QB’s that get released periodically.
Trade Tracker Table
